АНАЛИЗ МЕТОДОВ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ С ИСПОЛЬЗОВАНИЕМ НЕЙРОННОЙ СЕТИ

Автор(и)

  • Дмитрий Борисович Запорожец Институт телекоммуникационных систем КПИ им. Игоря Сикорского, Ukraine
  • Мария Анатолиевна Скулиш https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5141-1382

Анотація

Analysis of Forecasting Methods using Neural Networks

Was analyzed forecast of Internet traffic as an important issue that has received few attentions from the computer networks field. By improving this task, efficient traffic engineering and anomaly detection tools can be created, resulting in economic gains from better resource management. This paper presents a Neural Network Ensemble (NNE) for the prediction of TCP/IP traffic using a Time Series Forecasting (TSF) point of view. Several experiments were devised by considering real-world data from two large Internet Service Providers. In addition, different time scales (e.g. every five minutes and hourly) and forecasting horizons were analyzed. Overall, the NNE approach is competitive when compared with other TSF methods (e.g. Holt-Winters and ARIMA).

Analysis of Forecasting Methods using Neural Networks

 

Was analyzed forecast of Internet traffic as an important issue that has received few attentions from the computer networks field. By improving this task, efficient traffic engineering and anomaly detection tools can be created, resulting in economic gains from better resource management. This paper presents a Neural Network Ensemble (NNE) for the prediction of TCP/IP traffic using a Time Series Forecasting (TSF) point of view. Several experiments were devised by considering real-world data from two large Internet Service Providers. In addition, different time scales (e.g. every five minutes and hourly) and forecasting horizons were analyzed. Overall, the NNE approach is competitive when compared with other TSF methods (e.g. Holt-Winters and ARIMA).

Біографія автора

Мария Анатолиевна Скулиш

к.т.н., доцент каф. ІТМ

Посилання

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Як цитувати

Запорожец, Д. Б., & Скулиш, М. А. (2018). АНАЛИЗ МЕТОДОВ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ С ИСПОЛЬЗОВАНИЕМ НЕЙРОННОЙ СЕТИ. Збірник матеріалів Міжнародної науково-технічної конференції «ПЕРСПЕКТИВИ ТЕЛЕКОМУНІКАЦІЙ». вилучено із http://conferenc.its.kpi.ua/proc/article/view/131523